Friday, October 11, 2002
Are you shaken?
Posted by Andy Sjostrom in "ARTICLE" @ 09:56 AM
I've always loved reading articles like the ZDNet article "Ten predictions to shake your world". Eyes fixed on the horizon, trying to figure out what the contours of things present will materialize into tomorrow. I pick two predictions from the article: one that I disagree with, and one that I agree with.
I disagree with: "1. Bandwidth becomes more cost effective than computing. Network capacity will increase faster than computing, memory and storage capacity to produce a significant shift in the relative cost of remote versus local computing. Cheap and plentiful bandwidth will catalyze a move toward more centralized networks services, using grid computing models and thin clients."
Wet dreams of Sun's Scott and Oracle's Larry. Connectivity increases with bandwidth but we want to stay fat and beautiful. In fact, the question should not be put: "Fat or thin?", since the answer is "Fat and connected, thin and connected and fat and disconnected!". Keyword: AND!
I agree with: "7. Banks become primary provider of presence services by 2007. Presence services can manage your preferences, personal information and experience on the Internet. Gartner consider what it calls "one-click Internet" as essential to bringing convenience and mobility to the Internet. Microsoft (Passport), the Liberty Alliance, AOL, and Yahoo (among others) are vying for a piece of your presence--if not all of it. But Gartner's Claunch said that the future belongs to independent companies or financial service provides, such as the banks."
Banks are on my top list of players that eventually will lead the mobile market. They already have my account details, stock portfolio (remains of it), knowledge about the bills I pay and so and so on. If they just could get their act together, we'll soon see the carriers "we-own-the-one-we-bill"-fantasies vaporize.
In fact, in substance I agree with most of the predictions in the article so I am not really shaken. Are you?
I disagree with: "1. Bandwidth becomes more cost effective than computing. Network capacity will increase faster than computing, memory and storage capacity to produce a significant shift in the relative cost of remote versus local computing. Cheap and plentiful bandwidth will catalyze a move toward more centralized networks services, using grid computing models and thin clients."
Wet dreams of Sun's Scott and Oracle's Larry. Connectivity increases with bandwidth but we want to stay fat and beautiful. In fact, the question should not be put: "Fat or thin?", since the answer is "Fat and connected, thin and connected and fat and disconnected!". Keyword: AND!
I agree with: "7. Banks become primary provider of presence services by 2007. Presence services can manage your preferences, personal information and experience on the Internet. Gartner consider what it calls "one-click Internet" as essential to bringing convenience and mobility to the Internet. Microsoft (Passport), the Liberty Alliance, AOL, and Yahoo (among others) are vying for a piece of your presence--if not all of it. But Gartner's Claunch said that the future belongs to independent companies or financial service provides, such as the banks."
Banks are on my top list of players that eventually will lead the mobile market. They already have my account details, stock portfolio (remains of it), knowledge about the bills I pay and so and so on. If they just could get their act together, we'll soon see the carriers "we-own-the-one-we-bill"-fantasies vaporize.
In fact, in substance I agree with most of the predictions in the article so I am not really shaken. Are you?
