Windows Phone Thoughts: Market share predictions through 2008

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Saturday, September 14, 2002

Market share predictions through 2008

Posted by Ed Hansberry in "THE COMPETITION" @ 08:00 AM

http://www.businesswire.com/cgi-bin/f_headline.cgi?bw.090902/222520318

This projection takes the current leaders - PalmOS, WinCE/PPC, Symbian and Linux and projects both worldwide and USA market share through 2008. "Palm has been the leading PDA platform the last five years, but it is seeing increasing competition from Pocket PC, Symbian and Linux. With current trends Palm will lose its worldwide lead in 2004, but will retain U.S. leadership until 2008. The long-term winner depends on which of the major PC, electronics and cell phone manufacturers adopt which PDA platform. Sony is the only major company that is supporting Palm and Sony's success is primarily in the U.S. Palm sorely needs additional allies in international markets such as China and Europe."

I hear that alot - Sony is the PalmOS salvation. Do you really think they and they alone have that much clout? Do you think Palm needs another big hitter, perhaps Philips?



"The Palm OS lead is evaporating because the major PC companies are adopting the Pocket PC platform and Palm is running out of major companies that have the worldwide marketing clout to reverse this trend," says Dr. Egil Juliussen, the author of the report. "Palm will need several major electronics companies to adopt the Palm OS in the next year to have any chance of retaining its lead."

The USA market share report is in the comments.<!>

As the report said, Palm retains its lead in the US through 2008. What I find interesting is that WinCE/PPC is seen as a global leader. About 71% of the Microsoft OS's volumes are seen from outside of the US whereas Palm is 54% dependant on the US market.

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